Wednesday, June 17, 2015

FOMC meeting what to expect - ECB increasing the ELA to Greek banks ?

      FOMC meeting what to expect

      The last three statements from Fed officials were all unanimous, but that could have been only the calm before the storm.
      The policy statement to be released could show few dissenters voting for a rate hike.
      How many, is key to the market interpretation of the likelihood of a September rate hike scenario.
      Fed officials will also give new economic projections: They could downgrade the outlook for the economy somewhat.
      Dot plot” of Fed funds rate expectations could show a lower rate path with only one rate increase this year from two suggested in March.
      Fed Chair Yellen press conference following the decision: Watch for a positive tone and look for hints that September is the preferred month for the first rate hike.

      ECB holds a non-monetary policy meeting to decide whether to increase the limit of ELA to Greek banks and raise the haircut on Greek bonds used as collateral

      Today:
      Eurozone: final CPI for May; The final figure is forecast to confirm the preliminary reading. Thus the market reaction could be limited.
      UK:  Employment report for April: A decline in the unemployment rate and an acceleration in the growth of earnings could prove GBP-supportive.
      Bank of England releases the minutes of its June meeting. An optimistic tone along with a strong labor report could strengthen GBP.
      Canada: Wholesale trade sales, usually not a major market mover. 

No comments:

Post a Comment