Wednesday, October 29, 2014

USD/JPY volatility rises more on FOMC days than EUR or GBP - RBNZ meets to decide on its key interest rates

      To QE or to QE…Pre-FOMC uncertainty dominates market

      There is no press conference following the rate decision and no updates in economic projections, thus not many changes are expected in Oct. statement.
      The Committee may choose the December meeting to re-examine more comprehensively the forward guidance language
      Key point to watch: Does statement still include the “considerable time” phrase?
      Following the comments by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard that the Fed should consider continuing with its bond-buying program, a continuation could not be ruled out

      USD/JPY volatility rises more on FOMC days than EUR or GBP
      RBNZ meets to decide on its key interest rates

      The Bank is expected to leave its policy rate unchanged
      Governor Graeme Wheeler could reiterate the view that the exchange rate current level remains “unjustified and unsustainable”.
      A dovish tone and emphasis on the low Q3 inflation rate released last week, could weaken NZD

      Today:

      Eurozone: French consumer confidence for October
      Sweden: Economic tendency survey for October; decline in the Survey could prove SEK-negative
      UK: mortgage approvals for September

      Norway: AKU unemployment rate for August and retail sales for September

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