Friday, May 22, 2015

Dollar weakens in Asian trading; held steady despite poor US data

     Dollar weakens in Asian trading; held steady despite poor US data
    USD falls vs most G10 currencies, mostly during Asian trading; USD held fairly steady in late European/early US trading yesterday despite many disappointing US indicators
    Investors may be waiting to hear what Fed Chair Yellen has to say later today. Her views will be more up-to-date than FOMC minutes

     Greek hopes dashed; no hope now?
    Greek PM Tsipras meets with Merkel, Hollande; they agree only to continue talks!
    Greece has only 2 weeks before a large payment to IMF is due; might not be enough time to reach agreement & get further loans approved. Seems headed for disaster.
    Short EUR vs JPY or CHF might be the best way to play rising Greek tensions

     BoJ stands pat, as expected
    Its view of economy improved somewhat
    October still seems the most likely time for any further stimulus

     Today:
    Eurozone:  German Ifo survey may be soft, adding to EUR weakness
    US: CPI for April expected to dip further into deflation to -0.2% from -0.1%, while core also expected to slow 10 bps to +1.7%. Wait to hear what Yellen has to say about CPI.
    Canada:  CPI for April

    Speakers:  In addition to Kuroda (this morning) and Yellen, ECB President Draghi and BoE Gov. Carney speak

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