Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Market takes Yellen’s comments as dovish

     Market takes Yellen’s comments as dovish
    Although she confirms that they are likely to raise rates as early as June, it depends on the data. They won’t necessarily start hiking rates right after dropping “patient”
    Moreover she said they were looking at inflation including food & energy as well as core PCE, which is also dovish
    Fed funds rate expectations fall sharply. USD still underpinned as next move is still up, but rate of strengthening may be slower than I had anticipated

     BoC Gov. Poloz surprises with dovish statement
    Says cut in rates has bought some time, implying no hike in March meeting
    With oil prices still falling and rates likely to fall, I still think CAD is likely to weaken

     Eurozone accepts Greek proposals
    New questions:  how do they finance the government for now? And how to raise taxes?

     China HSBC/Markit manufacturing PMI for Feb @ 50.1
    Move back above 50 boosts AUD and NZD, at least temporarily

     Today:
    Eurozone: French consumer confidence for Feb
    Sweden: Minutes of latest Riksbank meeting   Norway: AKU unemployment

    US: 2nd day of Yellen testimony; new home sales for January

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