Thursday, December 11, 2014

New Zealand shifts to tightening bias from neutral

     New Zealand shifts to tightening bias from neutral

    “Some further increase in the OCR is expected to be required,” it says – previously it had indicated the next move could be either up or down
    NZD soars – likely to be the strongest of the commodity currencies, in my view

     Australia employment beats expectations, but AUD gains only a bit

    Shows that AUD is moving according to global risk appetite and stock markets

     Oil falls further as Saudi oil minister rejects cutbacks

    Look for a move below $60/bbl on WTI soon

     Today:
    Eurozone: CPI day – German & French final CPIs for Nov.  Second TLTRO to be held, result won’t be known until next Wednesday
    Sweden:  CPI expected to fall further into deflation, SEK-negative ahead of next week’s Riksbank meeting
    Norway:  Norges Bank likely to keep rates steady, but may hint at further easing after yesterday’s slowing inflation. NOK-negative
    Switzerland: SNB likely to keep policy unchanged, reaffirm EUR/CHF floor

    US: Retail sales ex autos & gasoline expected to slow, which could hurt USD. Weekly jobless claims forecast to be steady

No comments:

Post a Comment