Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Greece dominates market activity

     Greece dominates market activity
    Failure to elect a president automatically triggers a general election on Jan. 25th
    Greek stocks, bond prices fall sharply
    German, French yields hit record low on flight-to-safety, US Treasuries rally too
    But Portuguese, Spanish yields little changed, indicating no fear of contagion

     Dollar gains despite lower yields, fall in Fed funds expectations
    DXY index hits 2014 high as EUR/USD hits 2014 low
    Rally despite lower yields shows continued strong support for USD

     Oil falls further; commodity currencies weaken
    Oil falls despite attack on Libya’s main loading port
    RUB falls back towards 60; AUD/NZD hits record low; USD/CAD at 2014 high

     Gold falls further despite the Greek uncertainty
     Today:
    Eurozone: M3 money supply forecast to have accelerated slightly, but as credit growth remains negative, this should not influence ECB

    US: S&P/Case Shiller house price index expected to rise; Conference Board consumer confidence index expected higher

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