Monday, October 27, 2014

The dollar lower vs almost all of the currencies we track except RUB

       Capital shortfall of €25 billion at 25 banks, twelve of which have already covered their capital needs
       ECB unveiled on Sunday that 13 out of 130 largest Eurozone banks will need to raise additional capital in order to weather another financial crisis
       In another report, the European Banking Authority published the results of the 2014 stress test and 14 out of 123 banks fall below the defined capital thresholds
       Following the results several questions remain to be answered: ECB’s Asset Quality Review showed the carrying values of banks’ assets as of 31 December 2013, have the values changed since then?
       Now that the majority of the banks pass the test, will there be more demand in the second LTRO allotment in December?
       The dollar lower vs almost all of the currencies we track except RUB: probably due to the fact that pro-western parties seems to dominate the country’s parliamentary elections
       Today:
       Eurozone: German Ifo survey for October, Eurozone’s M3 money supply, ECB is expected to reveal how much it spent on covered bonds since the program began on Oct. 20.
       US:  Preliminary Markit service-sector PMI for October, Pending home sales for September Dallas Fed manufacturing index
       Rest of week:
       Tuesday:  Sweden’s central bank meeting: Forecast of 15bps rate cut
       WednesdayFOMC rate decision, RBNZ policy meeting
       ThursdayUS 1st estimate of GDP for Q3, German CPI for October 

       Friday: Bank of Japan ends its two-day policy meeting

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