Thursday, September 25, 2014

Kiwi current level is “unjustified and unsustainable”

Main Points for Today

      Kiwi current level is unjustified and unsustainable
    RBNZ in a statement released today said that it considers the current level of the exchange rate “unjustified and unsustainable” and further downward adjustment is expected
    Three main reasons that can cause further NZD depreciation:
      Declining commodity export prices
      Slowdown in China’s economic growth
      Strong outlook for the US economy
      AUD also fell due to kiwi sell-off
      Chinese central bank Governor may be replaced amid a personnel reshuffle
    Top contender to head the People’s Bank of China, is considered to be a former banker and securities regulator
    Today:
    Eurozone:  ECB President Mario Draghi speech and Eurozone’s M3 money supply
    Sweden:  PPI for August

    US: Durable goods orders for August The headline figure is forecast to drop 18.0% mom, from +22.6% mom in the previous month. On the other hand, durable goods excluding transportation equipment are estimated to rise on a mom basis

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