Tuesday, May 27, 2014

EUR/USD - Outlook 27/05/2014

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·         EUR/USD failed to reach the 1.3600 level and after finding support at 1.3612 (S1), moved higher to trade again above 1.3650. The pair is now trading below the resistance of 1.3685 (R1), which lies near the 50-period moving average. Comparing both our momentum studies with the price action, we can identify positive divergence, thus I cannot rule out further advances. Moreover, on the daily chart, we can see a possible piercing line candle formation, favoring the continuation of the rebound. Nonetheless, considering that ECB policy makers are “comfortable” of taking action at the Bank’s meeting next week, I still consider any bullish waves as renewed selling opportunities before the bears prevail again.
·         Support: 1.3612 (S1), 1.3475 (S2), 1.3400 (S3).

·         Resistance: 1.3685 (R1), 1.3745 (R2), 1.3790 (R3).

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