Behind the recent increase in
volatility: questioning the omnipotence of central bankers
·
Volatility in all markets, including currencies, has
picked up recently. Behind this move is:
·
Uncertainty about whether the ECB will be able to do
QE, and even if they do, what effect it will have
·
Uncertainty about the timing or pace of Fed
tightening; and most importantly,
·
Uncertainty about whether central bankers have any
more tools to help boost the global economy if we fall back into recession or
deflation
· Do you think the the dollar rally is derailed, or only
delayed ?
· Do you believe that the commodity currencies are liable to
be the most vulnerable under these circumstances? Selling CAD/JPY may be a good
way to capitalize on these trends ?
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