Friday, October 17, 2014

ECB’s Nowotny on the other hand sees no need to hurry

•     St. Louis Fed President Bullard suggests delaying the end of QE
–    The same guy who forecast that they will raise rates in Q1 2015 (he still is)
–    He’s concerned though that inflation expectations are turning lower in the US
–    Comments show Fed’s willingness to support economy, boost markets
•     ECB’s Nowotny on the other hand sees no need to hurry
–    Admits that Eurozone economy “shows clear signs of weakening”
–    Says expectations of large-scale ABS purchases are “exaggerated,” won’t start until December at the earliest
–    Despite soaring peripheral yields, German yields near Japan levels, stocks tanking
•     Market demanding ECB do something, but no response; Fed has to support global economy = stronger USD as money flows to US
•     Oil rebounds on thoughts that OPEC will restrict supply
–    OPEC members are virtually at war with each other; I can’t see them cooperating
–    I expect further declines
•     Today:
–    Eurozone: Four ECB speakers, including Weidmann and Nowotny again

–    US: Fed Chair Yellen to speak on inequality; housing starts & building permits for Sep forecast to rise, which would further support USD

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