Friday, October 17, 2014

ECB’s Nowotny on the other hand sees no need to hurry

     St. Louis Fed President Bullard suggests delaying the end of QE
    The same guy who forecast that they will raise rates in Q1 2015 (he still is)
    He’s concerned though that inflation expectations are turning lower in the US
    Comments show Fed’s willingness to support economy, boost markets
     ECB’s Nowotny on the other hand sees no need to hurry
    Admits that Eurozone economy “shows clear signs of weakening”
    Says expectations of large-scale ABS purchases are “exaggerated,” won’t start until December at the earliest
    Despite soaring peripheral yields, German yields near Japan levels, stocks tanking
     Market demanding ECB do something, but no response; Fed has to support global economy = stronger USD as money flows to US
     Oil rebounds on thoughts that OPEC will restrict supply
    OPEC members are virtually at war with each other; I can’t see them cooperating
    I expect further declines
     Today:
    Eurozone: Four ECB speakers, including Weidmann and Nowotny again

    US: Fed Chair Yellen to speak on inequality; housing starts & building permits for Sep forecast to rise, which would further support USD

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