• FOMC meeting what to expect
•
The last three statements from Fed officials were all unanimous,
but that could have been only the calm before the storm.
•
The policy statement to be released could show few dissenters voting
for a rate hike.
•
How many, is key to the market interpretation of the likelihood of
a September rate hike scenario.
•
Fed officials will also give new economic projections: They
could downgrade the outlook for the economy
somewhat.
•
“Dot
plot” of
Fed funds rate expectations could show a lower rate path with only one rate
increase this year from two suggested in March.
•
Fed Chair Yellen press conference following the decision: Watch
for a positive tone and look for hints that September is the preferred month
for the first rate hike.
• ECB holds a non-monetary policy meeting to decide whether to
increase the limit of ELA to Greek banks and raise the haircut on Greek bonds
used as collateral
• Today:
•
Eurozone: final CPI for May; The final figure is forecast to confirm the
preliminary reading. Thus the market reaction could be limited.
•
UK: Employment report for April: A decline in the unemployment
rate and an acceleration in the growth of earnings could prove GBP-supportive.
•
Bank of England releases the minutes of its June meeting. An optimistic tone along
with a strong labor report could strengthen GBP.
•
Canada: Wholesale trade sales, usually not a major market mover.
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