Wednesday, June 10, 2015

Dollar strengthens on good US labor-related data

•     Dollar strengthens on good US labor-related data
–    NFIB small business optimism index rises more than expected; small businesses finding it harder to hire people, are raising pay
–    Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey shows big rise in number of open jobs
–    Fed funds rate expectations rise, US bond yields rise = USD supported
–    Meanwhile, talks between Greece & creditors are at a standstill as the clock ticks down

•     NOK, CAD rise on surge in oil prices
–    Weekly API stats show big drawdown in inventories; Saudis say they’re increasing production because of higher demand

•     Kuroda says it’s hard to see Japan REER falling further
–    Notes that JPY has returned to levels prevalent before Lehman Bros. collapse
–    Still, I see no reason why JPY can’t weaken further with world’s biggest QE program

•     Today:
–    Eurozone: French industrial production for April
–    Norway:  CPI for May
–    UK:  Industrial production for April may be weak, judging from manufacturing PMI; BoE Gov., Chancellor speak at Mansion House

–    New Zealand: RBNZ (just barely) expected to cut rates

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