Tuesday, May 12, 2015

Greece: Another meeting...and again no agreement

      Greece: Another meeting...and again no agreement
     Progress has been achieved but “more time is needed to bridge the remaining gaps”.
     The talks with the new negotiating team of Greece were “more efficient, more positive, more constructive”.
     The positive talks could prompt the ECB to keep the level of the haircut on the collateral Greek banks provide unchanged.

      San Francisco Fed President John Williams keeps the rate hike scenario alive
     Williams reassured the market that the US economy could rebound in Q2 and that the weakness in Q1 GDP was “a big anomaly”.
     He expects the unemployment rate to decline to 5% or even lower by the end-2015.
     Rate hike is on the table at every Fed meeting, and the decision will depend on the economic data.
     USD is likely to regain its lost glamour as the alternatives within the G10 become less attractive.

      Today:
     Sweden: CPI and CPIF, and minutes of the April policy meeting. A positive tone in the minutes and a strong CPI are likely to support SEK.
     UK:  industrial production for March. A positive surprise could strengthen GBP.
     USNFIB small business optimism for April and Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report for March.

     Speakers: Riksbank Deputy Governor Per Jansson.

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