Tuesday, May 5, 2015

European PMIs top global ranking

•     European PMIs top global ranking
–    All of the top 10 countries are European; Asia was particularly weak
–    Eurozone manufacturing PMI now higher than US ISM index, but as this has no implications for monetary policy, it probably won’t affect the currency
–    Sweden’s strong PMI suggests SEK strength

•     RBA cuts rates 25 bps, as expected
–    Says AUD is likely to weaken further, should weaken; it does. I remain bearish AUD

•     Fed Evans wants delay in hiking rates
–    He’s a well-known dove and his views aren’t representative of FOMC consensus

•     Greece pushes for more funding as ECB considers cutting it
–    Greek officials talk with Draghi today to get ECB to boost funding for Greek banks
–    But ECB will debate tomorrow whether they should raise collateral requirements

•     Today:
–    Sweden: Industrial production for March expected to rise, could be SEK-positive
–    UK:  Construction PMI for April expected to decline slightly but remain at high level

–    US: final Markit service-sector PMI for April, ISM non-manufacturing PMI forecast to decline. US trade balance for March

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