•
Dallas Fed survey disappoints
– Rises only
slightly despite rebound in oil; USD weaker as US growth disappoints
•
Greek Finance Minister Varoufakis sidelined, or
is he?
– Athens
makes new negotiating team, although Varoufakis still seems to be in charge
– Things
can’t get worse; rally in bank stocks shows some think they might get better
– Watch
tomorrow’s ECB meeting to see the official reaction
•
China QE is no such thing
– PBOC buying
local govt debt as lender of last resort; not QE at all
– But market
got temporarily excited about it, commodity prices rallied
•
GBP gains as Conservatives gain in polls
– But in fact
Tories may be worse than Labour for GBP because of EU referendum
•
Wednesday’s FOMC meeting: What to expect
– Look for
whether they think economy is in “soft patch” or structural downturn
•
Today:
– Eurozone: French
consumer confidence
– UK: Q1
GDP expected to slow; could depress GBP
– US: Conference
Board leading index, Richmond Fed index, S&P/Case Shiller house price index
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