• RBA joined its global counterparts in easing policy
• The Reserve Bank of Australia cut its
benchmark interest rate by 25 bps to 2.25% in an attempt to stave off deflationary
pressures on the back of low oil prices.
• The Bank remains still concerned about the housing market and in the statement it said
that “The
Bank is working with other regulators to assess and contain economic risks that
may arise from the housing market.”
• They will most likely increase the
macroprudential tools to take the heat out of the housing market. But, with
interest rates now at record lows the impact on housing prices will be watched
closely.
• Further cuts in interest rates could
follow, thus AUD/USD is likely to remain under selling pressure. We could see
further declines at least until 0.7500 in the near future.
• Oil prices jump:
News that drillers
pulled 94 rigs from US fields last week and a refinery strike, seen as the main
reasons for the rise. No change in fundamentals, the rise could be seen as bear
market correction.
• Today:
• UK: Construction PMI for January is
expected to decline a bit. Could be GBP-negative.
• US: Factory orders for December are expected
to fall at an accelerating pace.
• New Zealand: Q4 unemployment rate is anticipated to
decline somewhat. The positive labor market data and
the fact that NZD/USD is trading near a strong support level could push the
rate up before the bears prevail again.
• Speakers: St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Fed President Narayana
Kocherlakota speak.
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