•
Market takes Yellen’s comments as dovish
– Although
she confirms that they are likely to raise rates as early as June, it depends
on the data. They won’t necessarily start hiking rates right after dropping
“patient”
– Moreover
she said they were looking at inflation including food & energy as well as
core PCE, which is also dovish
– Fed funds
rate expectations fall sharply. USD still underpinned as next move is still up,
but rate of strengthening may be slower than I had anticipated
•
BoC Gov. Poloz surprises with dovish statement
– Says cut in
rates has bought some time, implying no hike in March meeting
– With oil
prices still falling and rates likely to fall, I still think CAD is likely to
weaken
•
Eurozone accepts Greek proposals
– New
questions: how do they finance the government for now? And how to raise
taxes?
•
China HSBC/Markit manufacturing PMI for Feb @
50.1
– Move back
above 50 boosts AUD and NZD, at least temporarily
•
Today:
– Eurozone: French
consumer confidence for Feb
– Sweden: Minutes of
latest Riksbank meeting Norway: AKU unemployment
– US: 2nd day of Yellen testimony; new home sales for
January
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