• Are we in an “unspoken” currency war?
• The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its
reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 bps to 19.5%, in an attempt to keep
the Chinese economy stable.
• AUD and NZD jumped on the news but gave
back the gains in the following hour.
• Many central banks in their attempt to
fight low inflation and growth have taken unprecedented stimulus measures and
eased their policies to spur growth.
• With interest rates near zero for many
countries –or even negative in many cases- and with binding fiscal constraints,
it seems that the only tool left to stimulate growth is a weaker exchange rate.
• But if everyone is playing the same game
and everyone devalues its currency, then who wins? The only “sure”
thing is more and higher FX volatility
• ECB toughened its stance with Greece’s new
government by restricting financing to its direct liquidity lines. Greek
Finance minister meet its German counterpart today for another “NO” on their
requests.
• Today:
• Germany:
Factory orders for December
• UK: Bank of England policy meeting
• Sweden: Industrial production for December
• US: initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan.31 and trade balance for
December
• Several speakers with the most important. ECB Governing Council member Klaas Knot will speak in Dutch
Parliament on ECB’s quantitative easing program.
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