Thursday, February 5, 2015

Are we in an “unspoken” currency war?

      Are we in an “unspoken” currency war?

      The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) cut its reserve requirement ratio (RRR) by 50 bps to 19.5%,  in an attempt to keep the Chinese economy stable.
      AUD and NZD jumped on the news but gave back the gains in the following hour.
      Many central banks in their attempt to fight low inflation and growth have taken unprecedented stimulus measures and eased their policies to spur growth.
      With interest rates near zero for many countries –or even negative in many cases- and with binding fiscal constraints, it seems that the only tool left to stimulate growth is a weaker exchange rate.
      But if everyone is playing the same game and everyone devalues its currency, then who wins? The only “sure” thing is more and higher FX volatility

  ECB toughened its stance with Greece’s new government by restricting financing to its direct liquidity lines. Greek Finance minister meet its German counterpart today for another “NO” on their requests.

      Today:
      Germany: Factory orders for December
      UK: Bank of England policy meeting
      Sweden: Industrial production for December
      US: initial jobless claims for the week ended Jan.31 and trade balance for December

      Several speakers with the most important. ECB Governing Council member Klaas Knot will speak in Dutch Parliament on ECB’s quantitative easing program. 

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