Monday, January 19, 2015

Switzerland should be able to withstand the SNB decision

      Switzerland should be able to withstand the SNB decision

      Switzerland’s Finance minister said in an interview to a local newspaper that the economy can cope with the removal of the EUR/CHF minimum exchange rate.
      The minister also added that if the exchange rate stays above 1.10, companies should be able to adjust as they are better placed than in 2011.
      But given the downward pressure on euro, the rate is likely to move lower than higher, in our view.

      Greece entered the final week for national elections: Syriza still lead the polls.
      Today:
      EU foreign ministers meet to discuss policy against Russia and terrorist attack in France. If they decide to maintain the current sanctions or impose new ones, this could hurt RUB further.
      As for the indicators, Eurozone’s current account is due out.

      This week:

      Tuesday: German ZEW survey for January, both indices are expected to rise but it may not be enough to reverse the negative sentiment towards EUR.
      Wednesday:  Bank of England releases the minutes of its Dec. meeting. The focus will be on the number and names of dissenters. UK employment report. The forecast is for a strong report that suggests less slack in the labor market. Bank of Canada policy meeting.
      Thursday: The highlight of the week-ECB meeting. Expectations for the Bank to introduce a large scale QE program have increased dramatically following SNB’s move.

      Friday:  Canada’s CPI for December.

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