•
Greek fears up as magazine says Merkel
willing to accept Grexit
– Story is
roundly denied, but PM Samaras tries stoke Grexit fears to win votes
– Eurozone
stocks plunge, bond yields rise; capital flight to weaken EUR
– Polls
show no Greek party likely to win a majority; uncertainty may continue up to
and even after the Jan. 25th election, weighing on EUR
•
USD weakens nonetheless on profit-taking
– Down vs
all G10 currencies except GBP, most EM currencies except RUB, BRL, MXN
– Probably
just profit-taking; I don’t expect it to last
•
Commodities weaker, led by oil
– Supply
increases, Saudi price cut put pressure on oil
– China
adjusts export subsidy regime, but copper and iron ore both fall
– AUD and
NZD gain nonetheless on rise in HSBC composite PMI for China
•
Today:
– Eurozone: Final
service-sector PMIs for some countries,
– UK:
Service sector PMI expected to fall. Could be GBP-negative after yesterday’s
disappointing construction PMI
– US: final
Markit and ISM service-sector PMIs, November factory orders
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