Tuesday, January 6, 2015

Greek fears up as magazine says Merkel willing to accept Grexit

     Greek fears up as magazine says Merkel willing to accept Grexit
    Story is roundly denied, but PM Samaras tries stoke Grexit fears to win votes
    Eurozone stocks plunge, bond yields rise; capital flight to weaken EUR
    Polls show no Greek party likely to win a majority; uncertainty may continue up to and even after the Jan. 25th election, weighing on EUR

     USD weakens nonetheless on profit-taking
    Down vs all G10 currencies except GBP, most EM currencies except RUB, BRL, MXN
    Probably just profit-taking; I don’t expect it to last

     Commodities weaker, led by oil
    Supply increases, Saudi price cut put pressure on oil
    China adjusts export subsidy regime, but copper and iron ore both fall
    AUD and NZD gain nonetheless on rise in HSBC composite PMI for China

     Today:
    Eurozone: Final service-sector PMIs for some countries,
    UK:  Service sector PMI expected to fall. Could be GBP-negative after yesterday’s disappointing construction PMI

    US: final Markit and ISM service-sector PMIs, November factory orders

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