Monday, December 29, 2014

SEK recovers slightly after government cancels March election

•     SEK recovers slightly after government cancels March election
–    Ruling party reaches agreement with opposition that will last for seven years
–    Nonetheless, SEK fails to recover all the ground it lost on Friday – not a good sign!

•     NZD, AUD gain after China allows banks to lend more
–    PBOC changes the definition of deposits for the purpose of calculating deposit-to-loan ratio – will allow banks to lend more
–    NZD, AUD gain, but I’m still negative. Move will cushion China’s slowdown, not stop it

•     RUB weakens sharply as oil prices fall further
•     Today:
–    Eurozone: Final round of Greek presidential elections. Candidate not expected to win. If he loses, a general election must be held in about a month. Risk event for EUR.
–    US: Dallas Fed manufacturing index for December

•     This week:
–    Tuesday: Eurozone money supply, S&P/Case Shiller home prices, US leading index
–    Wednesday: Initial jobless claims, Chicago PMI, pending home sales; Japan holiday
–    Thursday: Happy New Year! And China manufacturing PMI

–    Friday:  Global PMI day

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