• Why euro hasn't fallen yet?
• I believe that in order to answer this
question, we have to look at three euro-crosses, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF.
• Euro/yen has been advancing since Oct.
31st when the Bank of Japan introduced further stimulus
measures, to reach levels last seen in 2008.
• EUR/GBP moved higher following the Bank of England’s
disappointing inflation
report.
• EUR/CHF has seen
speculative selling, as the rate moved towards the Swiss National Bank floor. The above
reasons made the euro-bears to rethink their stance, at least in the
short-term.
• Oil prices moved a bit higher on Thursday and continued to advance
in early European hours, as investors weighed the likelihood that at OPEC
summit on November 27.
Overnight, New Zealand’s credit card
spending accelerated 1.3% mom in October, from +0.2% mom in September.
As for indicators:
- In Canada, the CPI rate for October is expected remain
unchanged at 2%, in line with the Bank of Canada target. This could prove
CAD-supportive.
- Speakers: ECB President
Mario Draghi and Governor Jens Weidmann speak at the European Banking Congress.
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