Friday, November 21, 2014

Why euro hasn't fallen yet?


      Why euro hasn't fallen yet?

          I believe that in order to answer this question, we have to look at three euro-crosses, EUR/JPY, EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF.
      Euro/yen has been advancing since Oct. 31st when the Bank of Japan introduced further stimulus measures, to reach levels last seen in 2008.
      EUR/GBP moved higher following the Bank of England’s disappointing inflation report.
      EUR/CHF has seen speculative selling, as the rate moved towards the Swiss National Bank floor. The above reasons made the euro-bears to rethink their stance, at least in the short-term.


      Oil prices moved a bit higher on Thursday and continued to advance in early European hours, as investors weighed the likelihood that at OPEC summit on November 27.


     Overnight, New Zealand’s credit card spending accelerated 1.3% mom in             October, from +0.2% mom in September.

     As for indicators:

  •              In Canada, the CPI rate for October is expected remain unchanged at 2%, in line with the Bank of Canada target. This could prove CAD-supportive.
  •             Speakers: ECB President Mario Draghi and Governor Jens Weidmann speak at the European Banking Congress. 

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