Monday, November 24, 2014

Main events of the week

Week’s main events
Time
Region
Indicator
Period
Survey
Actual
Prior
Comments
Tuesday Nov. 25th
15:30
US
GDP
Q3
2nd  estimate
+3.3%
qoq
SAAR

+3.5%
qoq SAAR
1st estimate
The 2nd estimate of the Q3 GDP is expected to show that the US economy expanded at a slower pace than initially estimated, which could take-off some of the USD strength
15:30
US
Core PCE deflator
Q3
2nd  estimate
+1.4%
qoq
SAAR

+1.4%
qoq SAAR
1st estimate
Wednesday Nov. 26th
11:30
UK
GDP
Q3
2nd estimate
+0.7%
qoq

+0.7%
qoq
Following the disappointing inflation report and the downgrades a strong reading is needed for GBP to strengthen.]
15:30
US
Durable goods orders
Oct.
-0.6%
mom

-1.1%
mom
The market could pay more attention to durable goods excluding transportation, which are expected to rebound. This could be USD-supportive
15:30
US
Durable goods excluding transportation
Oct.
+0.4%
mom

-0.1%
mom
Thursday Nov. 27th
15:00
Germany
CPI
EU harmonized
Nov.
(P)
+0.5%
yoy

+0.7%
yoy
As usual the drama will start several hours earlier when the CPI for Saxony is released, which could give as an early clue about the headline figure and the direction of the euro
Friday Nov. 28th
12:00
Eurozone
CPI estimate
Oct.
+0.3%
yoy

+0.4%
yoy
With less than a week before the ECB meeting, the ease in the CPI rate is expected to confirm the ECB President Draghi’s concerns that a stronger recovery is unlikely in the coming months

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