Friday, October 10, 2014

Oil prices continue to collapse

•     Draghi the Dove sends EUR lower, boosts USD
–    Reaffirmed that ECB’s only goal is price stability, meaning it has to do whatever is necessary to prevent deflation too
–    ECB stands ready to do more unconventional measures if necessary
–    Ready to alter the size and composition of its balance sheet (= QE)
–    Moving into more active control of its  balance sheet
–    These are the kind of comments people wanted to hear last week
•     How long is a “considerable time?”
•      Bullard says somewhere between 2 months and one year, says market is about right in terms of rate hikes
•      Williams says mid-2015, but depends on the data
•     Oil prices continue to collapse
–    Should exert downward pressure on inflation
–    Should boost consumer sentiment
•     Today:
–    UK:  Construction output for August expected to accelerate
–    Canada:  unemployment for Sep expected to stay at 7%

–    US: Four FOMC members speak (Plosser, George, Richard Fisher and Lacker)

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