Thursday, September 25, 2014

Kiwi current level is “unjustified and unsustainable”

Main Points for Today

•      Kiwi current level is “unjustified and unsustainable”
–    RBNZ in a statement released today said that it considers the current level of the exchange rate “unjustified and unsustainable” and further downward adjustment is expected
–    Three main reasons that can cause further NZD depreciation:
•      Declining commodity export prices
•      Slowdown in China’s economic growth
•      Strong outlook for the US economy
•      AUD also fell due to kiwi sell-off
•      Chinese central bank Governor may be replaced amid a personnel reshuffle
–    Top contender to head the People’s Bank of China, is considered to be a former banker and securities regulator
–    Today:
–    Eurozone:  ECB President Mario Draghi speech and Eurozone’s M3 money supply
–    Sweden:  PPI for August

–    US: Durable goods orders for August The headline figure is forecast to drop 18.0% mom, from +22.6% mom in the previous month. On the other hand, durable goods excluding transportation equipment are estimated to rise on a mom basis

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