Monday, September 22, 2014

Echoes of Scotland

     Echoes of Scotland
    GBP lower today on profit-taking, political risk in UK – may be overdone, given the recent move up in UK rate expectations
    EUR lower as Catalonia may call a referendum on independence, setting up a constitutional conflict
     Echoes of the Fed
    USD generally higher; CAD also up on sharp jump in core CPI
    Market is likely to be taking its lead from central banks again; USD, NOK to gain, EUR, SEK to suffer
     Today:
    Eurozone: ECB President Draghi give quarterly testimony to EU Parliament; Eurozone consumer confidence for Sept
    US:  existing home sales for August forecast to show small rise; Chicago Fed index
     This week
    Tuesday is PMI day:  China, Germany, Eurozone expected lower, US higher
    Wednesday:  Ifo survey
    Thursday: US durable goods

    Friday:  Japan CPI

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